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Alphabet's miss, and Microsoft's bond

Oct 30, 2026

In one line, companies short of cash because they are buying AI equipment fell. Drugs and card networks, farther from that spending, rose.

In one line, companies short of cash because they are buying AI equipment fell. Drugs and card networks, farther from that spending, rose.

Alphabet, Google's parent, fell ▼ 12.68% to $283.70. Third-quarter revenue of $127.6 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $2.67 both missed. DK said revenue and profit missing together was the first time in about four years. Cloud revenue rose ▲ 103%, but search revenue missed. Free cash flow, cash left after capital spending, was a $9.1 billion deficit. A deficit means cash was short, not left over. The company said next year's capital spending would rise a lot, and Citizens cut its view to market perform, a label that does not mean buy more. Capital spending was $51.36 billion, below a $55.09 billion forecast. The stock still fell because cash was already short and next year would cost more.

Microsoft fell ▼ 0.14% to $530.28. Revenue of $92.3 billion, up 19%, beat forecasts, and Azure cloud growth of 48% was faster than the prior quarter's 42%. The report was good. It still planned its first U.S. corporate bond since 2017, at least $25 billion. A corporate bond is a debt note issued by a company. Quarterly capital spending was $45.2 billion, below a $50.7 billion forecast, which the company blamed on late deliveries from outside suppliers.

ServiceNow fell ▼ 26.97% to $109.64, its worst day since listing. Revenue beat, but adjusted earnings per share of $1.00 missed $1.02. Next-quarter backlog growth guidance of 18.5% was below the 19.8% hope. Backlog means orders not yet finished.

Fortinet fell ▼ 20.24% to $138.85. Third-quarter results beat, but the yearly service-revenue outlook was cut from $5.15 billion to $5.17 billion. Product revenue growth slowed to 37% from 52%. Bank of America moved to neutral and cut its target to $140.

Eli Lilly rose ▲ 6.56% to $1,372.85. Third-quarter revenue of $24.4 billion, up 39%, beat by a wide margin, and the yearly revenue outlook rose from $91 billion to $92 billion, a third raise. Mounjaro revenue rose ▲ 65% and Zepbound 49%.

Lumentum rose only ▲ 0.68% to $920.12. DK said Marvell was in late talks to buy it, with a possible announcement as soon as the next week. Lumentum's market cap, the value of all shares, was about $83 billion, more than a third of Marvell's about $221 billion. The buyer could issue new shares and dilute existing owners, so Marvell fell hard. A report also said Nvidia had invested $2 billion in Lumentum.

Caterpillar fell ▼ 9.29% to $647.08 even after a record backlog of $78.1 billion. This year's tariff cost was about $2.2 billion, operating margin was at the low end of the company's target range, and the yearly revenue outlook was only maintained. A tariff is a tax on goods crossing a border. DK said an outside report confirmed revenue of $20.7 billion versus about $20.5 billion expected.

CoreWeave fell ▼ 4.99% to $60.74. Microsoft buying less equipment than expected was read as a sign that server supply to companies like this was late.

KLA rose ▲ 5.50% to $167.50. First-quarter revenue of $4.14 billion beat, and operating margin topped 46% for the first time. Next-quarter revenue of $4.7 billion would be about 14% above the prior quarter.

Merck rose ▲ 3.84% to $146.34. Third-quarter revenue of $18.1 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $2.49 beat, and the yearly earnings outlook rose. Of $830 million in injectable Keytruda sales, about $550 million was customers buying ahead. The next quarter has to show whether that effect drops out.

Mastercard rose ▲ 4.18% to $635.80, a 52-week high, the most expensive price in the past year. Third-quarter revenue of $9.8 billion rose 14%. Cross-border volume rose 11% and value-added service revenue 19%.

T-Mobile fell ▼ 0.51% to $147.32. Adjusted earnings per share of $3.22 beat $2.89, and postpaid net adds were 274,000. The churn rate rose to 1.09% over the year, which limited the gain.

Three lines to keep. A cash deficit from AI equipment spending hurt the stock even when some lines of business grew. A slower next quarter hurt software more than a sales beat helped. Drugs and card payments rose on the same day.

Words in this note

earnings per share · profit earned by one share of stock
capital spending · money spent on long-lived things such as servers or factories
corporate bond · a debt note issued by a company
market cap · the value of all of a company's shares added together
earnings · a company's report card for the quarter
adjusted · recalculated after one-time costs are removed
guidance · the outlook the company itself gives for the next period
revenue · money that came in from selling goods or services
backlog · orders received but not yet finished
profit · what is left after costs are taken out of revenue
margin · the share of revenue left after costs